Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c68e7bfbf2f473c4a8095be9fe3fd6738dcb5e68a93c2cf02aacc7ddd3b0c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 20,801$9,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,445.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 16,695$9,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Yes | 41c | 3,736$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 59c | 1,380$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +831.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,248$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.56 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 50c | 570$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 467.66$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…b5e9backed Yes | 65c | 313.35$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 56c | 179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked Yes | 60c | 177$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 159.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes | 65c | 137.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 47c | 135.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1de…63e5backed Yes | 57c | 122.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 40c | 101.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 29c | 99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 57c | 88.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 64.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 44c | 52.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 41c | 43.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 57c | 38.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 50c | 29.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 57c | 22.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.