Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b544f9b05417c27ba869703d49c73f4b4d8ddcb7fb4cc70c90a465d15aef42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borussia Mönchengladbachof Borussia Mönchengladbach, FC Augsburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Augsburg | 41c | 61,439$25,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,060.95 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 62c | 59,025$36,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,596.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 27c | 5,051$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.56 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed FC Augsburg | 75c | 2,440$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked FC Augsburg | 74c | 1,439$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.86 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 26c | 751.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.64 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 26c | 705.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.89 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 29c | 489.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.79 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 28c | 409.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 396.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 69c | 344.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FC Augsburg | 56c | 320.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 26c | 193.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed FC Augsburg | 74c | 172.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked FC Augsburg | 8c | 140.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 117.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked FC Augsburg | 73c | 107.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed FC Augsburg | 72c | 106$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked FC Augsburg | 23c | 57.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked FC Augsburg | 74c | 53.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked FC Augsburg | 52c | 50.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Augsburg | 69c | 38.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 27c | 37.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FC Augsburg | 75c | 25.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed FC Augsburg | 51c | 20.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed FC Augsburg | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed FC Augsburg | 75c | 19.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…b69cbacked FC Augsburg | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.