La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4923826aacd7bd9d46fa393069ac4ab2c268480966dd7b2e2cf2cfb34f74c138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 476.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 410.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 52c | 403.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 47c | 385.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 51c | 151.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 58c | 96.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 46.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.