La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf4ab49848e99df28e3f31c01495a4d42e47fe6b354b4e3de89531540c3fb61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 26,119$16,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,870.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 8,938$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.61 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 41c | 6,999$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 5,627$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.52 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Over | 38c | 3,553$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 38c | 1,200$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 34c | 889.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 38c | 702$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Under | 62c | 452.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 26c | 400.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Over | 36c | 392.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 383.87$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 62c | 379.7$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 62c | 247.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Over | 41c | 242.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 61c | 185.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 178.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 37c | 156.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 140.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Over | 36c | 138.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 63c | 122$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 61c | 119.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Under | 62c | 115.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 97.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 61c | 90.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 26c | 72.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 68c | 69.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 38c | 52.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…eda0backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 49.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…ec16backed Under | 61c | 45.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Over | 33c | 36.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 63c | 30.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…06bdbacked Over | 39c | 28.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 68c | 24.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 22.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.