Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc272467392806ac440f55361a5cc3ab8b9a9f0f1e4e702bef8b8d163d57698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 53c | 2,589$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 873.72$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.48 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 44c | 597.89$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 477.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 34c | 202$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 23c | 174.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 27c | 96.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…99f7backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 58.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 44c | 57.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 53.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 47c | 36.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 54c | 34.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 29.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.