Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb007c25d4f8912b23aeba7409983f1f7c6848f7fbc7cbc05b56d7d90b70ff4b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 10,534$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 64c | 5,812$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.28 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 36c | 2,799$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 67c | 1,073$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.73 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 55c | 999$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 901.72$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 375.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.57 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 66c | 367.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 310.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 66c | 298.17$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 40c | 196.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…ec08backed Over | 15c | 162.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 38c | 117$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…99f7backed Over | 22c | 110.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Over | 57c | 105.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Over | 62c | 100.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Over | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…03d8backed Over | 57c | 85.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 54c | 81.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Under | 50c | 75.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 61c | 68.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 38c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 61c | 47.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 36.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.