La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dc6bb6e5047e813d24b10ff77124f401ea2ba228b62267b42da7a376c121175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 77c | 2,275$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.42 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 1,478$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.73 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,056$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.6 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 22c | 901.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 28c | 617.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 557.25$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 68c | 530.78$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 80c | 482.23$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 80c | 395$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 211.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 170.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 20c | 168.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 78c | 135$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…d53cbacked Yes | 23c | 130.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 25c | 117.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 20c | 77.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked No | 80c | 64.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 63.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…c7e6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 75c | 32.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.