La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc91dd9a39f6d2b681615e03de16231b55f509bbb7a8b932fcc37c44f43e620df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 9,273$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.98 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 9,007$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.5 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…ce24backed Under | 51c | 4,645$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 57c | 2,811$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 56c | 2,769$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.31 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 51c | 1,583$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 25c | 967.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 868.39$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 53c | 660.4$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…6275backed Under | 50c | 626$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 56c | 399.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 55c | 360.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Over | 57c | 296.82$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 74c | 282$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Over | 51c | 280.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Over | 76c | 276.55$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Under | 37c | 269.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 57c | 233$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 43c | 212.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 53c | 199.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 192.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 19c | 175.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 57c | 173.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…b052backed Under | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 50c | 157.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…5a7cbacked Under | 44c | 146.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 57c | 132.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 57c | 124.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 41c | 109.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 91.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…5519backed Over | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over | 57c | 69.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 45c | 59.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 51c | 51.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…016dbacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 37.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Over | 57c | 35.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c6…67c6backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb6…26efbacked Over | 75c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 57c | 26.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Under | 45c | 23.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 53c | 19.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.