La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24da7f166ff0c8d70d8bafd42374a8d4443dec03811f5058be143335c75ecf8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 5,067$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.94 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 35c | 966$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 60c | 835.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 792.64$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 790.92$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.08 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 55c | 784.43$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 40c | 752.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 57c | 580.64$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Yes | 58c | 521.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 59c | 508.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 508.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 492.21$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed No | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 57c | 435$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 49c | 427.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 58c | 354.68$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 322.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…2854backed Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed No | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 41c | 217.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 197.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb7…4ef3backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Yes | 56c | 157.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 144.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked No | 44c | 117.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…f640backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 56c | 74.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 46c | 70.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 50c | 66.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36b…cfe0backed Yes | 55c | 64.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 58c | 60.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa170…fba0backed Yes | 60c | 58.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 44c | 52.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…7f29backed Yes | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Yes | 58c | 44.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8b51backed Yes | 57c | 43.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 58c | 34.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked No | 53c | 30.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…3f5dbacked Yes | 54c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 26.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 57c | 25.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9c29backed Yes | 58c | 25.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 52c | 24.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 49c | 21.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…ce94backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…2f10backed Yes | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…ff29backed Yes | 54c | 18.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.