La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc32176354515425841e9d73aceb06856b79e861b281c42fe61080e356e91244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Athletic Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Real Madrid | 34c | 10,003$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,609.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Real Madrid | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Real Madrid | 33c | 8,080$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,413.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletic Club | 66c | 8,058$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Real Madrid | 33c | 3,628$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.15 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Athletic Club | 71c | 3,600$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Athletic Club | 55c | 3,568$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.45 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Athletic Club | 67c | 1,809$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.28 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Real Madrid | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.87 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Athletic Club | 67c | 1,363$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.27 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Real Madrid | 33c | 1,243$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Athletic Club | 70c | 1,200$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.36 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed Athletic Club | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Real Madrid | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Real Madrid | 33c | 610$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Athletic Club | 6c | 538.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Athletic Club | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…7b19backed Athletic Club | 26c | 491.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid | 71c | 467.45$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Real Madrid | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Real Madrid | 32c | 397.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Real Madrid | 33c | 351.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8c7ebacked Real Madrid | 33c | 347.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletic Club | 67c | 335.59$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.52 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Real Madrid | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Real Madrid | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Real Madrid | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Real Madrid | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Athletic Club | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Real Madrid | 28c | 264.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Real Madrid | 33c | 260.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Athletic Club | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Real Madrid | 30c | 218.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Real Madrid | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Real Madrid | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Real Madrid | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Athletic Club | 69c | 195.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…96a9backed Real Madrid | 31c | 163.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Athletic Club | 49c | 137.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Real Madrid | 31c | 132.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Real Madrid | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Real Madrid | 72c | 106.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Real Madrid | 44c | 105.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Athletic Club | 69c | 101.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Athletic Club | 68c | 100.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Real Madrid | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Real Madrid | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Real Madrid | 31c | 96.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Real Madrid | 28c | 95.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…9f48backed Real Madrid | 29c | 91.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Real Madrid | 33c | 91.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Athletic Club | 55c | 91.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Athletic Club | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Athletic Club | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked Real Madrid | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Real Madrid | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed Real Madrid | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Real Madrid | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Real Madrid | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Real Madrid | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Real Madrid | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Real Madrid | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Athletic Club | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Real Madrid | 34c | 57.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Real Madrid | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Real Madrid | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Athletic Club | 67c | 41.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…5d42backed Real Madrid | 51c | 38.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…5bfebacked Athletic Club | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…f7edbacked Athletic Club | 73c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Athletic Club | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Athletic Club | 69c | 20.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Athletic Club | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Athletic Club | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…0eb3backed Athletic Club | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…fdd5backed Athletic Club | 71c | 16.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked Athletic Club | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Real Madrid | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.