Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc4d13715718e81609d02bb627312bba8c702311d5a5de12edc3e0f4f6287d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 6,502$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 42c | 5,374$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.96 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 42c | 3,800$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 2,759$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.8 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 993.13$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 57c | 806.98$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 43c | 788.29$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 58c | 777.72$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Over | 58c | 690.8$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 58c | 504.95$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 501.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 65c | 457.9$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…5af1backed Over | 61c | 330.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 62c | 220.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 177.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 39c | 141$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 28c | 123.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 58c | 116.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 45c | 59.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 51.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 58c | 34.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…b87ebacked Over | 58c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.