La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb250c71c34f06186ef8e76de9b76581b12260dd8a6ffa9a77dea0c22cd188064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $496,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 46c | 120,239$55,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,310 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 48c | 76,744$36,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,562.44 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 0c | 33,663$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 28,430$15,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,844.2 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 27,308$14,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,561.45 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 54c | 24,994$13,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,497.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 23,942$12,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,416.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 52c | 17,249$8,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.3 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 48c | 15,708$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.99 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 53c | 14,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 53c | 13,556$7,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 45c | 9,796$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.23 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 9,633$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.2 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 53c | 9,057$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 53c | 7,536$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.46 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 53c | 7,121$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.75 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Yes | 46c | 6,625$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 47c | 5,207$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.05 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 46c | 4,983$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 53c | 4,699$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 57c | 4,522$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.31 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Yes | 47c | 4,151$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 53c | 3,981$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.88 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 3,843$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.78 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 53c | 3,762$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.25 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 71c | 3,190$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 29c | 3,000$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.21 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…7a93backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 53c | 2,477$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.94 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked No | 53c | 2,154$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 54c | 2,112$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.56 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 53c | 1,757$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.35 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 37c | 1,452$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 57c | 1,408$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.08 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked No | 37c | 1,280$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 48c | 1,257$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 55c | 1,090$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 42c | 1,048$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 52c | 999.93$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 54c | 999.89$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.95 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 54c | 887.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 53c | 799.98$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 751.05$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 713.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 646$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 79c | 639.68$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 54c | 622.18$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.2 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 619.34$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 47c | 608.06$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 44c | 600$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked No | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 47c | 599.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked No | 53c | 567$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 552.89$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.04 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 52c | 537.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.22 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 54c | 518.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17b…b6d5backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…6901backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 495.89$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.94 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 452$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…1a69backed Yes | 16c | 395.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 54c | 386.88$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 55c | 375$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 38c | 338.65$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 53c | 334$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 64c | 332.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 72c | 315.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked No | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 47c | 299.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 47c | 299.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…69aebacked No | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 46c | 267.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 10c | 253.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.62 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 37c | 252.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.