TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No7c7,247$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.513,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c5,918$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.3950249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c3,865$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.994,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes33c3,120$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.45939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c2,863$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes34c2,348$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.829058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes33c1,976$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.9264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c1,974$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes33c1,866$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.434731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes33c1,559$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.5310245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes33c1,546$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.822157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes33c1,520$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.46238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9909055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No68c1,427$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.364266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c1,346$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.311,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No65c1,317$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.6423452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes33c1,236$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.365232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No78c1,168$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c1,015$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes51c988.22$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3521641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c826$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.3730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47614244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0614427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No60c580$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes35c567.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3822335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes43c553.25$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1183640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes49c525$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2683050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No67c488$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.293951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No68c467.65$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3181752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Yes33c458.76$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.76560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes37c442.71$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1616838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No67c397.79$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.529044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes11c375.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.664440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No67c350.65$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes38c335.36$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4315442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c320.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9124147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.034854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.034951%25 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20123947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes8c300$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No67c299.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9815049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No67c298.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.191758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Yes39c296.85$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.274100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+204.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No52c295.29$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8121842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes33c289.45$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.934126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdea1…5a65backed Yes10c289.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+391.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes38c264.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes33c255$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No68c252.6$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7717252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No67c235$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes21c233.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No33c210.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.412744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No78c207.05$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes26c200$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.78641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No14c185.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4723152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes33c175.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7613936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes17c168.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9312727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes32c160.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.112828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No58c152.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No44c145.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.832532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes33c130.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.214233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No63c130$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.823762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No62c124.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.019134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.055119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes18c111.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.467241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes24c108.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.232927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.942540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5823855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes15c93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.056933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No39c59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.825650%28 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes33c54.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5510040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba40…b7b7backed Yes33c51.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9660…aedebacked No68c51.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No67c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.57751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No67c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.517660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac70…d0e7backed Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4811541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No66c37.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.533138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799a…78c1backed Yes34c32.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes33c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.445534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.