NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x023f6c864c024ac560fb45e949b7919eabab6160a1afc838f0bb46346a78c2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 50c | 82,000$41,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,000 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 79,858$39,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,929.2 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 15,966$7,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,602 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 53c | 9,132$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.61 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 5,424$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 4,031$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.72 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Over | 50c | 1,129$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…f902backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 53c | 900.21$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.1 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 876.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 769$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 47c | 732.1$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.09 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 645.01$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 630.19$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 596$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 584$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 52c | 232.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Under | 51c | 110.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 49c | 101.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 50c | 88.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 86.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 60.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 56.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 50c | 56.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 49c | 54.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 47c | 39.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 51c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…4291backed Over | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…b496backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 26.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 53c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.