NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483dcf07fa62f95326e3a8ba87813c46de825d317b37baadc06202d5343077f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb889…a430backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 23,498$11,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.19 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 52c | 16,152$8,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,392.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 12,653$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.39 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 52c | 9,368$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 49c | 8,916$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,367.87 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeeb…135abacked Spurs | 50c | 6,068$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,930$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.08 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,070$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.61 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 27c | 2,516$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Spurs | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,420$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 49c | 1,195$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 874$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 839.65$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 485.26$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 414.73$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Spurs | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs | 55c | 329$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.89 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Spurs | 9c | 316.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 49c | 273.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Spurs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 181.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Spurs | 50c | 175.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Spurs | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Spurs | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Spurs | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Spurs | 51c | 88.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Spurs | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 49c | 71.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 28c | 53.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Spurs | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Spurs | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Spurs | 51c | 39.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Spurs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Spurs | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Spurs | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Spurs | 55c | 35.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Spurs | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Spurs | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Spurs | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Spurs | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Spurs | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Spurs | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Spurs | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Spurs | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Spurs | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Spurs | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 50c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.