NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eecb58038c2b4bfc3cd815a3f9bb4cf5ddbd18c6fd381e8cd51e147a93e1e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb889…a430backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 78,012$41,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,665.87 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spurs | 47c | 19,978$9,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,389.66 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Spurs | 47c | 18,027$8,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,472.72 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Spurs | 52c | 16,022$8,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,298.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 47c | 11,516$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.41 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 10,084$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 47c | 8,431$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 38c | 5,392$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Spurs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 4,341$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.86 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,433$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 47c | 3,268$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Spurs | 46c | 3,212$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.47 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,002$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 2,869$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 47c | 2,516$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 46c | 2,081$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Spurs | 47c | 2,070$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.08 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,400$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,008$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Spurs | 47c | 694.61$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.21 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Spurs | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Spurs | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Spurs | 45c | 399.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Spurs | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Spurs | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Trail Blazers | 77c | 270$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 46c | 238.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 47c | 237$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…3f7abacked Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Spurs | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Spurs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 149.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Spurs | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 47c | 140.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Spurs | 46c | 134.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…8322backed Spurs | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 46c | 110.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 103.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Spurs | 50c | 96.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Spurs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…f09dbacked Spurs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 50c | 80.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Spurs | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Spurs | 48c | 57.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Spurs | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 53.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 51.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Spurs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…1c3dbacked Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…1ea1backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…2bdcbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 36.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Spurs | 47c | 33.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Spurs | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 27.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…7f18backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Spurs | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.