TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arkansas Razorbacksof Tennessee Volunteers, Arkansas Razorbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas Razorbacks54c4,874$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.812,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Tennessee Volunteers52c4,362$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2753652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers53c3,396$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.445,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee Volunteers5c3,283$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.64,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks48c2,857$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Tennessee Volunteers50c2,749$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.2535452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Tennessee Volunteers70c2,191$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.9755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas Razorbacks42c1,988$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.42,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks42c1,875$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.451,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers48c1,825$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c1,769$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.762,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Tennessee Volunteers60c1,513$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.2912354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Tennessee Volunteers44c1,012$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.281,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Tennessee Volunteers34c919.69$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.951,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Arkansas Razorbacks45c897.93$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.8625254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Arkansas Razorbacks54c612.49$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Tennessee Volunteers47c521$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Arkansas Razorbacks78c512.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.389871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c444.53$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.334,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Arkansas Razorbacks60c377$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd9…9ef5backed Arkansas Razorbacks56c375$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Arkansas Razorbacks53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14219446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Arkansas Razorbacks42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17438343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Tennessee Volunteers6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Tennessee Volunteers7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee Volunteers47c297.19$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.993,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Arkansas Razorbacks45c267.6$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas Razorbacks51c248$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.031,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c213.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.412642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f42…1842backed Arkansas Razorbacks38c206.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Arkansas Razorbacks50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10391848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Tennessee Volunteers24c205.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Arkansas Razorbacks12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17613313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Arkansas Razorbacks76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Tennessee Volunteers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa0…833bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Tennessee Volunteers7c157.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks12c150$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks12c140.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.93810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks52c140.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.251,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee Volunteers44c134$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.052,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Arkansas Razorbacks47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6611444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas Razorbacks58c125.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks60c118.51$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.763,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tennessee Volunteers28c116$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Tennessee Volunteers15c114.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.485253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Arkansas Razorbacks53c110.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Arkansas Razorbacks31c110.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.252532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Tennessee Volunteers44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Tennessee Volunteers58c99.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4120051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…e2c7backed Arkansas Razorbacks80c93.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Tennessee Volunteers49c87.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0414846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Arkansas Razorbacks33c86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Tennessee Volunteers22c80.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Arkansas Razorbacks42c78.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.511,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Arkansas Razorbacks46c78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4511344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Tennessee Volunteers62c74.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.492850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76a…700bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks43c70.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks55c69.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks62c64.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.331782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Tennessee Volunteers63c63.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Arkansas Razorbacks41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Tennessee Volunteers45c57.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2150%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tennessee Volunteers41c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.192,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks48c51.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.635540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c2…944ebacked Tennessee Volunteers22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Tennessee Volunteers41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2746446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Tennessee Volunteers52c43.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Tennessee Volunteers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a0…7303backed Arkansas Razorbacks42c39.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tennessee Volunteers49c36.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.861,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Tennessee Volunteers55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Arkansas Razorbacks48c35.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.586355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d3…087bbacked Tennessee Volunteers34c35.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Arkansas Razorbacks43c32.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5617544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas Razorbacks47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Arkansas Razorbacks36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.884517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee Volunteers50c24.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Arkansas Razorbacks69c18.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.849043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.