Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b0c1800182d133673e2646eb94ce9018063c3d184eb00b344e844017b360b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pisa SCof Genoa CFC, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Genoa CFC | 23c | 10,816$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.83 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Pisa SC | 58c | 6,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 77c | 2,021$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.96 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pisa SC | 76c | 1,705$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.47 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Pisa SC | 78c | 910$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Pisa SC | 76c | 768$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Genoa CFC | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Pisa SC | 76c | 443.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Genoa CFC | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pisa SC | 76c | 100.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Genoa CFC | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pisa SC | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Genoa CFC | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Pisa SC | 78c | 44.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Pisa SC | 76c | 31.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Pisa SC | 78c | 27.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.