Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c3c623ee6e15dadccd0d073a84b9bf26c387813575e3648bd2e031713dd754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 71c | 6,059$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.95 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 4,859$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 2,859$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.61 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 37c | 928$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 767$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.07 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 65c | 512.68$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.44 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 56c | 397.25$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 355.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 63c | 332.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 296.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 270.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 62c | 175$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 38c | 175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 141.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 41c | 100.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Over | 37c | 91.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 70.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Under | 30c | 65.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +291.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 40c | 64.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Under | 61c | 64.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 54c | 56.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a19…d9cebacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 51.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Under | 74c | 44.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 66c | 40.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…81cbbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.