Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa875ed75fb763cb8f5291df2409169a3781f10e1fe25754d379423bcde48cd3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 36c | 3,890$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 64c | 2,604$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.3 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 1,711$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 67c | 693.94$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 35c | 443.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 297.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 223$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 6c | 212.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 64c | 205.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Under | 36c | 205.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Under | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 68c | 65.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 32c | 65.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 64c | 37.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.