Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. George Mason Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb948d493642bd50197e2d3f6f9573364ca7d916bdb4bdf8c72c1d45c6489aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Mason Patriotsof Rhode Island Rams, George Mason Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Rhode Island Rams | 18c | 1,004$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked George Mason Patriots | 78c | 798.11$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked George Mason Patriots | 75c | 529.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Rhode Island Rams | 22c | 428$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Rhode Island Rams | 13c | 152.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Rhode Island Rams | 39c | 146$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked George Mason Patriots | 76c | 130.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rhode Island Rams | 22c | 130.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rhode Island Rams | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed George Mason Patriots | 72c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed George Mason Patriots | 68c | 102.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Rhode Island Rams | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rhode Island Rams | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed George Mason Patriots | 79c | 74.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed George Mason Patriots | 71c | 70.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rhode Island Rams | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Rhode Island Rams | 25c | 56.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed George Mason Patriots | 70c | 35.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed George Mason Patriots | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed George Mason Patriots | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed George Mason Patriots | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked George Mason Patriots | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked George Mason Patriots | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Mason Patriotsthis page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 141.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: George Mason Patriots (-6.5)George Mason Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.