Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb386c30b5888f277cd40622d947d092f4f1c4a35bfe47459d2dfa61268e5b895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Green Falconsof Bowling Green Falcons, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 51c | 4,690$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Bowling Green Falcons | 40c | 4,167$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.98 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 3,786$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.17 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bowling Green Falcons | 62c | 3,468$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 40c | 2,517$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 41c | 2,305$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.46 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bowling Green Falcons | 49c | 2,101$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.75 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 52c | 1,572$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 52c | 1,272$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 26c | 1,196$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 1,130$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.46 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 35c | 982.69$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.34 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 865.84$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 31c | 696.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bowling Green Falcons | 14c | 626.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.78 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bowling Green Falcons | 11c | 528.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.06 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 461$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 442.62$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bowling Green Falcons | 29c | 434.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 25c | 373.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bowling Green Falcons | 42c | 366.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bowling Green Falcons | 59c | 360.55$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 65c | 325.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 41c | 280.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 41c | 223.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 9c | 175.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 7c | 174$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 137.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 79c | 137$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 53c | 136$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 56c | 100.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Bowling Green Falcons | 25c | 99.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 11c | 94.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 42c | 79.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 38c | 71.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 55c | 60.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 28c | 56.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…a1e4backed Bowling Green Falcons | 66c | 50.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 63c | 47.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 56c | 45.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 43c | 27.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bowling Green Falcons | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bowling Green Falcons | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…acbcbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Massachusetts Minutementhis page
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 149.5Over won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.