TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$571,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under48c490,191$232,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257,260.061369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Over52c253,809$131,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,980.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over53c63,749$33,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,787.24052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c42,954$22,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,863.111,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over52c32,471$16,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,845.1771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c30,000$15,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,70013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over53c27,263$14,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,449.438447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c22,352$11,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,846.6562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Over0c7,213$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c6,144$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.81,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over41c5,219$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.762142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6502250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under45c3,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.977529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over72c2,759$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under46c1,538$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over51c1,440$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over39c1,293$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under44c1,280$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.646060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Over55c1,214$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c962$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.249553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4246756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c611.92$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…13d1backed Over49c550$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over50c528.9$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.858942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over69c433.51$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.828654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under45c405$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.753951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under52c384.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.611553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over49c304.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15917756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1688263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15913655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16227244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Under56c299.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over63c280$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.211556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under49c224.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.914742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over65c214.31$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.823070%21 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+63.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Over55c209.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.171040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under44c205.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.887163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1068653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa088…3d07backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.411256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under41c171$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Under46c163.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over45c129.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.64759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd39…5f76backed Under45c111.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over46c109$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.231323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9612343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c102$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c101.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over53c100.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.375364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over54c96.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.971764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…f3b7backed Over42c92.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under39c89.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.432532%8 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over63c87.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Under48c81.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.45052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under53c76.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3618360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under46c75.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.242450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x554f…afb4backed Over44c72.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under27c72.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.09650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over53c69.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0910652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691b…d267backed Under47c69.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9e…32a9backed Over42c69.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over37c68.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.442536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over55c67.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over51c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.523348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a4…57c0backed Under47c63.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Under54c61.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0a…3389backed Under39c61.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+165.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.89354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.810158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.810556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.