Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03c13b9b08b709523266c9b4a54b02c531edcfaa9a4962479b98f174c53ddaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 61c | 859.35$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.99 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 413.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 40c | 397.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 315.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 206.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 139.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 56c | 118$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 62c | 43.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 40c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.