La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1c3df1c2b644b7b0a0bbe9a93ecae16232e3686da87790d58f6e5d1aeea22e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 9,940$5,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,268.2 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 8,642$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.07 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 8,636$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.9 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,916$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Over | 47c | 1,404$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 47c | 299.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 53c | 246.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 48.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 54c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.