TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Fairfield Stags (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Canisius Golden Griffinsof Fairfield Stags, Canisius Golden Griffins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,565 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Canisius Golden Griffins53c3,180$1,685 inWon+$1,494.4210648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Fairfield Stags47c2,520$1,184 inLost-$1,184.48749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Canisius Golden Griffins54c500$270 inWon+$2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fairfield Stags46c394.17$182 inLost-$181.85,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Fairfield Stags47c234.04$110 inLost-$11079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins54c108.76$59 inWon+$49.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Fairfield Stags47c106.38$50 inLost-$5020046.5%93 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Fairfield Stags47c106.38$50 inLost-$509554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Fairfield Stags46c104.14$48 inLost-$47.935243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fairfield Stags46c101.37$46 inLost-$46.512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Fairfield Stags47c65$31 inLost-$30.551,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Fairfield Stags46c42.77$20 inLost-$19.6750%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Fairfield Stags47c30$14 inLost-$14.11,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Fairfield Stags42c30$13 inLost-$12.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.