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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fairfield Stags vs. Canisius Golden Griffins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canisius Golden Griffinsof Fairfield Stags, Canisius Golden Griffins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ff9…a08fbacked Fairfield Stags57c2,571$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Fairfield Stags45c2,229$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Canisius Golden Griffins59c2,000$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Fairfield Stags44c1,977$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.8855657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Canisius Golden Griffins50c1,913$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.9212354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Fairfield Stags54c1,860$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canisius Golden Griffins44c1,796$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.425,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Canisius Golden Griffins47c1,397$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.131,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fairfield Stags53c1,218$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Canisius Golden Griffins29c1,046$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.29540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fairfield Stags38c1,028$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.051,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canisius Golden Griffins61c905.42$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.513,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fairfield Stags70c894.06$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.491,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Fairfield Stags65c881.7$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.051936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fairfield Stags38c849.7$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.811,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Canisius Golden Griffins46c837.03$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Canisius Golden Griffins56c808.18$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.61,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Fairfield Stags72c747$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.841,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Fairfield Stags70c745$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.12,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Fairfield Stags62c725.51$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.481844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins51c713.01$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.774,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Fairfield Stags62c645.5$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Canisius Golden Griffins30c640$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44816051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Fairfield Stags46c536.32$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5838343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Fairfield Stags51c534.72$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Canisius Golden Griffins44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Canisius Golden Griffins50c464.53$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Canisius Golden Griffins36c443.48$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.535831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Canisius Golden Griffins51c406.79$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.582,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Fairfield Stags71c382$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.271,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Fairfield Stags69c360$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Canisius Golden Griffins29c355$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.149746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Canisius Golden Griffins42c329.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.913953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Fairfield Stags50c311.42$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8945644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Fairfield Stags68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fairfield Stags46c256.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.341,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Fairfield Stags40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3332343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins30c249.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.741,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Canisius Golden Griffins30c249.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Canisius Golden Griffins40c247.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecf…9e86backed Fairfield Stags41c242.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Canisius Golden Griffins42c238.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6912642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Fairfield Stags40c222.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Canisius Golden Griffins59c212.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Canisius Golden Griffins51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Canisius Golden Griffins51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairfield Stags34c167.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.472,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fairfield Stags71c165$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Canisius Golden Griffins50c156.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.121,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Fairfield Stags44c155.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Canisius Golden Griffins43c140.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.233737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7228…a0f1backed Canisius Golden Griffins54c139.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Fairfield Stags56c129.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.181258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Fairfield Stags18c122.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.448930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad79…265dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Canisius Golden Griffins29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7132751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Fairfield Stags15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed Canisius Golden Griffins55c90.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.97944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Fairfield Stags52c86.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Canisius Golden Griffins61c83.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.977467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Canisius Golden Griffins45c82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.493,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Canisius Golden Griffins50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Fairfield Stags44c68.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.132,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Fairfield Stags38c66.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Fairfield Stags39c61.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.894330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Fairfield Stags59c61.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…b8eebacked Fairfield Stags47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canisius Golden Griffins45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Fairfield Stags46c43.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Fairfield Stags72c37.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6953646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Canisius Golden Griffins44c31.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.342334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags61c28.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.494,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Fairfield Stags56c28.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fc…2438backed Fairfield Stags55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bb…dbc9backed Fairfield Stags40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Fairfield Stags56c24.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.952,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Fairfield Stags68c20.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa1…2be3backed Fairfield Stags51c20.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fairfield Stags72c18.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.