Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fedb318146df165f62a5935820d6f812d60bf8f94a25a70731064da59609a4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 42c | 23,647$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,646.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 18,996$7,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,067.06 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 6,628$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.56 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 37c | 4,555$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.85 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 4,220$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.77 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 3,959$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 42c | 2,759$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.07 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 40c | 2,472$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.41 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,150$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 39c | 1,024$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.06 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 41c | 1,017$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.59 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 66c | 1,003$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 73c | 800$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 670$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 519$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.64 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 323.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 289.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 5c | 288.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 38c | 261$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 222$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 113$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 14c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…1a69backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 91.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 67c | 90.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 58c | 88.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 78c | 79.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 74c | 72.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 59c | 70.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 66.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 56c | 55.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…bedfbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 58c | 35.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 34c | 34.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…68d5backed No | 61c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 56c | 18.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.