Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bae3724a0bbf78d7cd46fa1964076e31069ea8c5e557c494586f9f45e8b157b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 4,792$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.27 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 36c | 1,861$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 788.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 66c | 758.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 65c | 625$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 36c | 616.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 600.74$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.26 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 64c | 573.02$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 35c | 535.71$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 65c | 506$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 6c | 390.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 323.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 65c | 225.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 206.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 66c | 182.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 34c | 147.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 35c | 107$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked No | 64c | 93.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 35c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 30c | 67.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…f201backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked No | 66c | 46.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 64c | 39.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed No | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.