TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No69c18,425$12,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,713.183164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.956360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c4,800$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,23145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c4,152$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.7268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c2,707$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.212,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c2,185$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.0393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3409556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes53c1,549$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.1696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No68c1,461$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.7416045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes77c1,308$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3913155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No31c1,000$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.557345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No65c900$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5859150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes80c886.25$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.672556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No69c800$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55212049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes73c744.49$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.182657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes31c623.11$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9513639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c542.65$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.071,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No29c506.64$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.863633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes33c499.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Yes67c352.22$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0a…3389backed Yes71c307.04$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.034562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20712540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20113040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes33c235.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.583647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No35c224.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.622714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8013658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes31c199.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.984040%16 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed No61c197.79$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes40c194$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9114549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes32c180$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.45145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes35c168.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.579953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes59c168.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.325856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5213553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes32c141.47$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.28858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c133.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7426046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No41c129.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.572924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c115.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No41c111$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5116842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0612033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes72c104$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c102$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8c…47eabacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6815357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc228…f268backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2982…73c7backed Yes60c99.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.455100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No65c97.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes33c81.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8215635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.925764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No22c72.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.99846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No32c69.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes74c69.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1415045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No32c67.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8411529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.618754%47 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6115141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6c…a0e2backed Yes34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes72c59.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7224849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes68c56.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.132860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes31c55.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.166131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No67c53.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.734242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.57248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes60c49.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205078%39 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.453545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.611546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.817955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed No67c38.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No37c35.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.175255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes69c34.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.623154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No67c34.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.891952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No68c32.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3436852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46e8…a63dbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…1d59backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1c7…848fbacked Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.067568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes67c18.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac09…a283backed No68c17.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c15.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ad…c805backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+109%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7f…c266backed No67c15.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed No67c14.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.045851.7%30 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.