Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7325de3f8a6abdacf164328cefba81e18337dd491d31dc2a2298b710c59ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 4,732$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.96 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 3,558$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,485$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.07 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 67c | 2,158$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 850$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…8424backed No | 68c | 820.59$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 3c | 546.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 544$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 66c | 429.32$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.97 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d04bbacked No | 68c | 413.24$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 32c | 396.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 32c | 376.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed No | 77c | 326.34$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes | 11c | 294.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 231.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…e344backed No | 68c | 226.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…bd63backed No | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 78c | 205.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3f…182fbacked No | 68c | 201.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…8ba3backed No | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 173.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…74f4backed No | 68c | 158.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 22c | 138.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 78c | 117.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 77c | 87.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 78.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…6a9dbacked No | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 32c | 52.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 67c | 52.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 67c | 43.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 66c | 42.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 67c | 39.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 76c | 39.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 80c | 24.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 15.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 78c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.