TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over50c47,847$23,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,020.8767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c29,304$14,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,442.0688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c13,285$6,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,509.661,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c13,153$6,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,404.9479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over53c9,918$5,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,661.4617744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under47c9,278$4,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.6633151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c5,555$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.413363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c3,788$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over52c3,767$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.163060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c3,216$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.791,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44028251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under53c2,751$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.0324654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under51c2,353$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c2,337$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.362,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under3c1,750$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,347$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.0161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,100$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.171,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c865$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c589.6$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over53c505.5$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8630349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c444$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Over52c416.65$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under48c360.25$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under47c356.2$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.561,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under58c337.42$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3649045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over52c289$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7247051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over37c247$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7462951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c240$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12037649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over48c213.03$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6878443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c170.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.731,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c163.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4653050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Over49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.869552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under51c121.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.978952.8%47 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under48c114.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.841,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under51c92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5647944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.958346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.529550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under51c71.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3514347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under53c71.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7310439.4%41 W · 63 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under50c60.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1435248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…f55abacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4616048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4615647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510646.2%49 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Under60c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716150.9%82 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under48c42.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5420552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7413142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…8262backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6413145.8%60 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811247.3%53 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6413346.6%62 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9274054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under49c28.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.846058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Under49c25.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.623946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214746.9%69 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over53c22.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.512652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.