NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe19dfaa0c364cf196f39e0bbc042392cfbabef8ced7cb3ca9146064bca6619a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 64c | 4,541$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.72 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 0c | 2,677$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 37c | 2,024$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.32 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 63c | 1,910$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.7 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 64c | 952.81$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.01 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Over | 62c | 713.76$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.31 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 40c | 443.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 383.24$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 38c | 286$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 38c | 271.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 65c | 227.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 36c | 202.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 38c | 153.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…e5e1backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 144.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 56c | 95.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 36c | 94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…7572backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 61c | 54.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 62c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…d2d3backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 63c | 22.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. HurricanesAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.