NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9301cd126bea6a654da338a4c48a0e40e8013691d69f19eb52cfd3311534f027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 36c | 3,616$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes | 63c | 2,302$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.28 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 1,140$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 36c | 838.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.4 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hurricanes | 64c | 777$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.28 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes | 63c | 276.28$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Avalanche | 35c | 170$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 124.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Hurricanes | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Avalanche | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Avalanche | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Avalanche | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Avalanche | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Hurricanes | 65c | 63.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Hurricanes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Avalanche | 50c | 60.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Hurricanes | 65c | 52.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hurricanes | 65c | 32.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cc…5220backed Hurricanes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hurricanes | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Hurricanes | 64c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Hurricanes | 64c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked Hurricanes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. HurricanesAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.