TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,130 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over51c12,188$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,215.8724053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c11,917$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,906.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under49c10,645$5,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,428.3951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c8,981$4,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,495.412,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c7,504$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.871,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Over51c6,863$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over52c6,747$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.316547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under51c5,245$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5704654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c4,881$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c4,768$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c4,043$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.041,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0009343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,750$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.4669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c3,700$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under19c3,348$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.191,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c3,100$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.9780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c2,953$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.242,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c2,866$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,634$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over61c2,569$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.931,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under51c2,451$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.7615849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8126637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under44c1,807$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.4640243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over47c1,575$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.2595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0921142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under41c1,372$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.2113154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Under49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4914450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c1,213$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,150$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c1,146$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under44c1,136$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.3417243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,133$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Under49c1,055$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.96953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Under27c1,000$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.916633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c962$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c882$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.282,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over50c875.93$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9717550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under23c870$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.481,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over51c834.42$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.914152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.331,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over6c600$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4330224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Over25c600$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+67.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over64c585.22$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.7965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under35c552.9$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under20c506$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.852,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Over14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702528%7 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+150.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25516148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Under79c496.6$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.913754%74 W · 63 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c492.48$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.774742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over17c473.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Under71c425$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.83661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c359.4$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over76c332.86$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4632952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c318.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.593,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0b…17c3backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick10cpaid+114.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c290$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over50c277.32$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6616338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over29c274.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over29c269.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under46c268.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c263.65$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over20c249.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over51c249.74$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3722746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c220.67$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.111,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under37c204.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7727463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c193.59$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.863,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Over49c192$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0818133.7%61 W · 120 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under50c187.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6320847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over46c181$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2615543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over41c177.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0250241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6b01backed Over41c169.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0214852%77 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9408…a584backed Under49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.518233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.233834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.823047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Under50c131.1$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.354139%16 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over56c129.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under35c126.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.891,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under50c123.11$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.442,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c118.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2254…e6e5backed Under74c114.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.84734%16 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Over50c113.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.373243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over23c110.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c105.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.653,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over59c105.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2230845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.