NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fed232fccf2dffef7bdd806d560eac28c7cb6ec4c3737b2cd2cb87b7ac7cffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,130 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 12,188$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.87 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 11,917$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 49c | 10,645$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.39 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 8,981$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 7,504$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.87 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Over | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 52c | 6,747$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.3 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 51c | 5,245$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 4,881$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,768$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 4,043$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.04 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 3,750$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.46 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 3,700$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 3,348$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.19 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 3,100$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.97 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 2,953$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 2,866$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.78 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,634$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 61c | 2,569$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.93 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 51c | 2,451$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.76 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 1,807$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.46 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 1,575$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.25 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 41c | 1,372$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.21 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,213$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.18 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,150$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.84 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 44c | 1,136$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.34 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,133$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Under | 49c | 1,055$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 27c | 1,000$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.9 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 962$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 882$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.28 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 50c | 875.93$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 23c | 870$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.48 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 51c | 834.42$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.9 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Over | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 64c | 585.22$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.79 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 35c | 552.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 20c | 506$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Over | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Under | 79c | 496.6$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 492.48$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 473.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Under | 71c | 425$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 359.4$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 76c | 332.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.46 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 318.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 50c | 277.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 29c | 274.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 29c | 269.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 46c | 268.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 263.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 20c | 249.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 51c | 249.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 220.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 37c | 204.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 193.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Over | 49c | 192$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 181 | 33.7%61 W · 120 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 50c | 187.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 46c | 181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 41c | 177.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Over | 41c | 169.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…a584backed Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 46c | 133$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Under | 50c | 131.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 56c | 129.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 35c | 126.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 50c | 123.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 118.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Under | 74c | 114.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Over | 50c | 113.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 23c | 110.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 105.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 59c | 105.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pistons vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.