NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f39b8363d4f059b7b225393ba226c4c111afa0f3cdd969c3f95e771ef75026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,375 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 6,069$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 3,592$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 3,561$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Under | 47c | 2,642$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.68 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,310$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 50c | 2,170$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 52c | 1,649$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.47 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,093$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 55c | 1,050$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 46c | 900$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 844$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.32 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 816.9$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 767.54$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 554.93$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 50c | 547.32$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 63c | 378.12$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 53c | 320.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 320.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Under | 63c | 225.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 217.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 38c | 199.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 71c | 180.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 164.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 49c | 153.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 45c | 147$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 138$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 130.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 125.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 48c | 105.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…ee2abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…b57dbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…09c9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Under | 59c | 86.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 52c | 83.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 47c | 83.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Under | 47c | 74.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 72.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 58.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 49.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 53c | 41.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…0f1fbacked Under | 50c | 38.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 36.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 64c | 31.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 80c | 29.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 63c | 25.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Over | 54c | 24.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 49c | 21.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…ad0cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pistons vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.