TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,477 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Spurs48c49,916$23,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,094.5759347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons54c45,955$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pistons51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,399.9638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons52c30,893$16,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,064.221,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs49c16,614$8,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,473.3329347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs45c16,227$7,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,924.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Spurs49c10,483$5,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,346.343941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs47c8,887$4,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,750.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons51c8,120$4,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14111457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pistons51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs49c6,867$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.7470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs49c5,139$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons50c5,048$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.1445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Spurs49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9912745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Spurs48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9719754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c4,987$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Pistons53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Pistons51c4,082$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pistons52c3,960$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.4324549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs46c3,822$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1f2bbacked Spurs49c3,249$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Spurs48c3,180$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.622143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Spurs50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Spurs49c2,599$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.8234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs47c2,363$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Spurs50c2,342$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1715046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs45c2,026$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Pistons52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Pistons53c1,879$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.8215850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs45c1,537$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…4f66backed Spurs50c1,420$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…eec3backed Spurs50c1,384$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf695…930abacked Spurs50c1,340$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf343…5e88backed Pistons50c1,332$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fc…c91dbacked Pistons50c1,312$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcf…763ebacked Spurs50c1,311$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Spurs49c1,300$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.9916953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ab…7ed7backed Spurs50c1,284$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6425100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5e7…f281backed Spurs50c1,264$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe478…7b1cbacked Spurs50c1,240$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6203100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac45…7feebacked Spurs50c1,236$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b79…eef8backed Pistons50c1,236$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dea…ef7ebacked Pistons50c1,228$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs46c1,217$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.182,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e5…5a5ebacked Pistons50c1,216$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Spurs50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60010251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…393fbacked Pistons50c1,192$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086b…283dbacked Spurs50c1,168$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b84…8e08backed Spurs50c1,160$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d4…9d54backed Pistons50c1,156$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…1c6abacked Pistons50c1,112$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2781…8a11backed Spurs50c1,112$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c8…531cbacked Spurs50c1,108$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a7…3e29backed Spurs50c1,096$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6c…3589backed Pistons50c1,092$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7385…1ef5backed Pistons50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4904…2e79backed Spurs50c1,084$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380f…4d7cbacked Pistons50c1,076$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8b…32aebacked Pistons50c1,060$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Spurs47c1,060$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.81,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0590…4a59backed Pistons50c1,056$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d6…9303backed Pistons50c1,049$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5650…c7b9backed Pistons50c1,036$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a0…cc4bbacked Pistons50c1,012$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x547d…5213backed Spurs50c1,004$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Pistons52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pistons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Pistons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pistons51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1f…ab7bbacked Pistons50c984$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs46c975.05$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.882,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f47…1e5dbacked Pistons50c968$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5971…1960backed Spurs50c961$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b4…e732backed Pistons50c960$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb752…ed38backed Spurs50c956$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pistons54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc2…ecf7backed Pistons50c920$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…f40ebacked Spurs50c916$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec1…d26cbacked Spurs50c908$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b05…35f4backed Spurs50c904$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7868…54cabacked Pistons50c902$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3bc…e224backed Spurs50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad8a…e231backed Pistons50c896$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2b…b673backed Spurs50c887$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72e1…96edbacked Pistons50c872$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x754f…460dbacked Pistons50c872$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9742…4ff1backed Pistons50c864.13$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0978…2e76backed Spurs50c864$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3164…94e3backed Pistons50c860$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc70…13a6backed Spurs50c848$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15da…78a7backed Pistons50c836$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa384…b149backed Pistons50c830$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Spurs46c824.93$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c4…db56backed Spurs50c822$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4115100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Spurs48c820$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.418743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.