NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb12cece4335160b58e49132b439f3b2209c849bd4585ecd63dc829b1a7bb21f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $573,071 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 399,784$199,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,839.56 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Spurs | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 49c | 84,076$41,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,120.44 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 52c | 64,538$33,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,193.72 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Spurs | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 48c | 23,597$11,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,323.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pistons | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 52c | 6,550$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 50c | 4,509$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Spurs | 53c | 4,254$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.54 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 50c | 4,245$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,080$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Spurs | 54c | 3,706$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.91 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,700$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Pistons | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.54 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Spurs | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Spurs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Spurs | 52c | 721.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.15 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Spurs | 53c | 599.92$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Pistons | 47c | 580$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.21 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Spurs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 553.94$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 50c | 506.36$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Spurs | 50c | 489.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 51c | 472.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.46 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 50c | 426.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 53c | 393.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Spurs | 54c | 328.58$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pistons | 47c | 323.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Spurs | 53c | 316.66$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 50c | 316.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Spurs | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Spurs | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Pistons | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pistons | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Spurs | 51c | 288.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Spurs | 51c | 264$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Spurs | 52c | 233.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Spurs | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Spurs | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 26c | 220.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Spurs | 55c | 215.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Pistons | 48c | 207.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Spurs | 52c | 205.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pistons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Spurs | 53c | 199.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Spurs | 55c | 198.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…5481backed Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…d0eebacked Spurs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Spurs | 52c | 190.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Spurs | 55c | 187.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Pistons | 12c | 180.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Spurs | 56c | 180.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Spurs | 52c | 175.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Spurs | 57c | 173.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Spurs | 52c | 166.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Spurs | 54c | 160.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Spurs | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Spurs | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Pistons | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 77c | 147.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Spurs | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Spurs | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 49c | 121.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Spurs | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 53c | 116.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Pistons | 50c | 105.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Spurs | 52c | 98.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Spurs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5c…cecebacked Pistons | 22c | 90.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Spurs | 51c | 82.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Spurs | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Pistons | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Pistons | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Spurs | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Spurs | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Spurs | 52c | 64.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 42c | 62.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 44c | 62.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…d503backed Spurs | 51c | 60.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Pistons | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Spurs | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Spurs | 53c | 54.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Pistons | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Spurs | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Spurs | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Spurs | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. SpursSpurs won
- Pistons vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.