Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78dd015e37a36978228335b6e8ebfa641fe96a99b705a684fb13bcb8f0c0b6be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 25,260$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 58c | 15,054$8,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.69 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 8,865$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 13c | 6,347$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 41c | 5,974$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.78 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 54c | 5,731$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 41c | 4,936$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.64 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 62c | 3,804$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.51 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 3,690$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.26 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 18c | 2,733$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.83 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 61c | 2,131$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.15 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 58c | 1,985$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 1,813$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.23 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,120$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9133backed No | 47c | 967.68$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 55c | 763.74$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 58c | 750.1$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.04 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Yes | 57c | 593.44$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 70c | 571.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…cf66backed Yes | 26c | 432.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 414.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 43c | 383$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9db…a30ebacked Yes | 78c | 368.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…45c8backed Yes | 78c | 333.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 78c | 321.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 320.56$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 41c | 270.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 236$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 31c | 231.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 57c | 229.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 217$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 31c | 176.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 60c | 165$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 10c | 146.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Yes | 27c | 146.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 24c | 141$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Yes | 76c | 131.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 32c | 118.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…0cacbacked Yes | 74c | 93.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 15c | 75.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed No | 17c | 66.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 41c | 62.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 48c | 61.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 55c | 58.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…491cbacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 70c | 45.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 45.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 71c | 43.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 70c | 42.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 59c | 42.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 34c | 41.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed No | 73c | 36.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yes | 69c | 35.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…01c7backed Yes | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Yes | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 55c | 30.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 77c | 28.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…ebabbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…05eabacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Yes | 76c | 26.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…1563backed No | 68c | 19.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.