Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ea203b860cfd1c45961f1fbbd4a0d424163f3d2bcd4a7216f3e6ac7472752b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,297$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 31c | 2,520$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Yes | 15c | 2,073$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,797$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 23c | 1,012$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 23c | 448.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 16c | 394.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 243.92$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 241.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 79c | 236.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 22c | 211.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…46abbacked Yes | 7c | 207.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 175.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 33c | 124$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 116.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 23c | 110.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 19c | 105.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 25c | 94.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 73.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…83b1backed Yes | 33c | 70.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 60.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 66c | 25.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 66c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.