Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd4bb10862dd3bfa2f3891a83c9f2c215a9e9bb88ad24019914d6b4c888218a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 34c | 40,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 65c | 19,533$12,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,696.29 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 66c | 10,368$6,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,842.94 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 8,483$6,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…bcf5backed Yes | 4c | 7,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 6,254$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,791$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.95 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 41c | 2,698$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 1,626$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.64 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 33c | 1,502$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,340$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 73c | 1,068$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 870.27$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.99 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 838.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 60c | 786.68$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.62 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 578.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 58c | 447.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 434$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 73c | 275.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 225$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 67c | 201.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 200.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 30c | 190$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 57c | 185$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 79c | 163.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 41c | 158.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 68c | 155.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 40c | 153$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 114.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 109.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 41c | 104.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…4044backed Yes | 73c | 84.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…bb88backed No | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 72c | 79.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…eb4cbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 19c | 69.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 18c | 67.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 30c | 67.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…7d67backed Yes | 65c | 61.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Yes | 65c | 35.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 57c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 59c | 24.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 60c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed No | 56c | 19.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdceb…b53dbacked Yes | 71c | 16.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.