Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45bebe5bd393d3ba4e454df0f52ab1ea157941f9dff65f0ecfdb588947cc0bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 17c | 4,855$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.85 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 70c | 2,989$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…37a3backed No | 61c | 1,455$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 1,358$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 1,198$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.34 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…d0b0backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 34c | 692.36$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 61c | 543.31$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 41c | 536.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 527.22$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.35 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 489.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 56c | 460$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 56c | 407.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 44c | 404.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 48c | 382.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 23c | 342.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…979abacked Yes | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 280$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.37 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 42c | 236.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 143.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 55c | 123.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Yes | 42c | 118.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 103.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 33c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…db6cbacked Yes | 53c | 94.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 16c | 92.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 48c | 76.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Yes | 44c | 70.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…b77ebacked Yes | 42c | 63.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 42c | 58.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 54c | 49.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…9bfbbacked Yes | 43c | 48.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Yes | 52c | 38.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 59c | 36.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed No | 47c | 31.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 30.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…586cbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 52c | 26.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…c396backed Yes | 42c | 24.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 75c | 22.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d93…4e27backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-01-02?No won
- Will Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.