TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,687 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under44c39,343$17,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,311.015534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c35,354$16,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,451.7754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over53c24,327$12,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,433.871,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over56c18,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,92059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over56c15,745$8,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,927.9229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c12,881$5,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,862.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c12,437$6,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,789.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under46c10,952$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Over57c9,253$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,018.642744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under47c6,316$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.5222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Under43c5,600$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4088348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c4,366$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over49c4,002$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.3962652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c3,939$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under26c3,741$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.911,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under55c3,700$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.9820651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under59c3,651$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.225350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under46c3,400$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.9833945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over56c3,381$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.651,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over54c3,059$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.0479549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7828554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c2,722$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.713,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c2,259$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over54c2,250$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c2,177$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c1,885$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.172,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c1,818$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.872,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under40c1,739$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.7126638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c1,575$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c1,526$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c1,505$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345e…a8e3backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2dc…b641backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ea…dd1dbacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab38…a52bbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3492…8d5abacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f0…ca96backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab7c…fcc5backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…6f25backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb566…2ee7backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa7…2a62backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc0…d161backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0709…17e8backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6b91backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7b…a5a8backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…2f5bbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3f…9ab8backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d21…e9bdbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc282…f55dbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8608…0a52backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec5…1e63backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e1…9a4cbacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…a8d1backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d91…3449backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f1…e03abacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3929…5beabacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…afedbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…50b0backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7c…b27abacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd285…8e1ebacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e5…b15ebacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d31…6d3abacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c4…912fbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52de…d435backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb45…6a83backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…30e9backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4717…560fbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec2…c2ccbacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2324…f385backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1869…d6c0backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c0…4c68backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fe…42cabacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9af…909cbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd70…eacdbacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1397…37fdbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c5…f30ebacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…3b0bbacked Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de3…999dbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0a…6d41backed Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89bb…3fb6backed Over49c1,450$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccb0…844fbacked Under51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over56c1,423$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.1251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over52c1,192$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.361,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over54c1,069$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.5211159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4257…d201backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a4…ebc9backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c868.14$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108b…ecdabacked Under47c862.56$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.162740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Under58c860.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8582…b97bbacked Under51c845$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9412…0ee0backed Under51c797$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over55c754.2$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.399352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Under48c750.1$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over55c733.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9469049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a8…1431backed Over49c732$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf027…73e7backed Under51c696$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.