TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers46c123,718$56,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,899.7760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Pacers56c33,785$18,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,919.611653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pacers54c30,595$16,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,521.339655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Pacers53c26,692$14,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,146.6122453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers53c21,186$11,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,228.5830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers45c18,310$8,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.374,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Pacers57c18,281$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,440.4524942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers54c14,246$7,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,736.441,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers55c13,850$7,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,617.7523147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers46c13,396$6,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,218.351,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pacers56c12,462$6,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,978.8935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Pacers56c11,650$6,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5245251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Pacers56c10,449$5,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,804.4710459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pacers53c9,630$5,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,103.928649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers57c7,504$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers48c7,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers46c6,452$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.341,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers57c6,357$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.5331644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pacers53c5,411$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.824744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers53c3,940$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers53c3,062$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.861,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers47c2,800$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers44c2,520$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pacers40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9444252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Clippers44c2,210$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.1751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Pacers56c2,132$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.8937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Pacers52c2,115$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.83548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers47c2,065$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.0241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Pacers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1409343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers55c1,834$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers54c1,741$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers47c1,032$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.423,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers45c973.92$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.773,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers51c921$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers47c910$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.31,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Pacers56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers55c879.97$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pacers55c864.34$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers48c850$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44214448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pacers59c847.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Clippers45c836$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Clippers47c833.52$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.771,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers41c729.97$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Pacers53c661$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Pacers46c656.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Clippers48c589.14$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3514053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Clippers43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.46741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Pacers61c574.2$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Pacers53c561.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Pacers40c544.04$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers50c515.01$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.182,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Pacers14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clippers46c494.85$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5226756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pacers57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Clippers76c368.84$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Clippers43c330$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers52c323.13$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0317050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Pacers58c307.6$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4145653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Pacers57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Pacers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pacers56c297$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.331,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Pacers52c279$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Pacers53c270$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2deb…8e68backed Pacers57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Clippers49c262.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9440243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Pacers13c260.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8455316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Clippers69c251.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6727357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Clippers43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.818233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Pacers39c237.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8118345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Pacers43c232.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016439.6%65 W · 99 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers47c217.1$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.721,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Clippers45c211.21$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.273053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Clippers53c205.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7338453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Pacers61c199.83$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.96355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers58c171.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Pacers53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9042143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x485a…a7c3backed Pacers60c165.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009957.6%57 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Pacers62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Pacers52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Pacers20c150.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers45c138.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers50c137.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Pacers53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Clippers48c134.06$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.716258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Pacers54c127.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pacers34c112.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.671,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xff53…5dd3backed Pacers56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607233.3%24 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Pacers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5328056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Clippers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5322850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clippers44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Clippers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5214155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Pacers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Pacers52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5248146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Clippers43c95.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3529040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe0…947cbacked Clippers48c91.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.562857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pacers28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Clippers57c87.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9210647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Pacers52c84.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.27960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Clippers50c84.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.368251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.