TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,489 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c65,000$30,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,199.9854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,00029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under50c42,743$21,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,363.1823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under46c25,545$11,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,750.475534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c25,147$13,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,838.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over51c22,330$11,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,941.61,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c20,040$10,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,819.571,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over54c18,141$9,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,344.8650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Under46c17,851$8,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,295.4928649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c15,000$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,449.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.982445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Under46c9,559$4,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,397.015040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.2617246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c9,252$4,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Under46c7,520$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.25251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over51c6,316$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.8422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under49c5,810$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.94742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.5617454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Under45c5,400$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.998348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,822$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under47c4,700$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c4,534$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.6170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c4,452$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.881,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8495…aed6backed Over54c4,316$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c4,207$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under49c3,827$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8754438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c3,678$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.132,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c3,648$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.512,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c3,571$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Over55c3,394$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.4539051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c3,298$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.872,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under58c3,103$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.6862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4106651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under47c2,820$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.1924942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under46c2,350$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under45c2,290$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c2,250$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8610847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over53c1,774$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.3326638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c1,721$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.982,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under47c1,633$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.798751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under49c1,616$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79224450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under51c1,600$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9933146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c1,598$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.781,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c1,585$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.952,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c1,569$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c1,563$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Under68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Under49c1,256$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.492839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under52c1,152$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.282,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Under46c1,130$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.83551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c1,029$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c1,017$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.963,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c979.5$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7525951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over53c936.17$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6451146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over54c935.19$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Under47c926.76$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.353842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over54c925.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9264944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under50c784$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39211943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Over54c709.57$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.872060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c495.58$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over53c439.56$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5924151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under56c419.03$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1621854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under6c370$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c269.66$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.193,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over51c238.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under50c232.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over53c208$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7615543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Over56c195.19$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194139%16 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c192.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over49c186.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e03…ecbdbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.42119%4 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-72.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Under71c169.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1916750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.142853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under48c125.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0135843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Over51c123$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2712538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under50c121.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1812552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over42c119.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.081,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over53c118.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under40c105.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4612540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Over50c99.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.956150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over55c99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.