Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc93f8e4e508666e9a51754ea7dd3e125e8aaad752ad5417af4cd904187835753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Toledo Rockets, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Toledo Rockets | 37c | 2,949$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.29 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 1,327$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.84 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 61c | 1,269$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 56c | 1,246$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Toledo Rockets | 55c | 994.73$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 58c | 846.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.78 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toledo Rockets | 48c | 693$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Toledo Rockets | 35c | 578.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.03 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Toledo Rockets | 41c | 495.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.34 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 487.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 59c | 486.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.89 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 17c | 340.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Toledo Rockets | 37c | 261.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toledo Rockets | 35c | 212.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 24c | 182$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 70c | 179.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Toledo Rockets | 33c | 138.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 34c | 97.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 66c | 95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 25c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Toledo Rockets | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Toledo Rockets | 75c | 32.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Toledo Rockets | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…2d19backed Toledo Rockets | 47c | 29.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Toledo Rockets | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Toledo Rockets | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Toledo Rockets | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 65c | 21.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Toledo Rockets | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5896backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Toledo Rockets | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Toledo Rockets | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Toledo Rockets | 71c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewasthis page
- Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 159.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.