Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0301fa075385b9e7ee7269c086d3fa74ec763ccb01165485477e17b3fdc013e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,399.98 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 47c | 42,500$19,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,563.95 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 47c | 31,328$14,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,604.71 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 56c | 10,000$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.69 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 9,793$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 47c | 8,679$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.11 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 48c | 6,270$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.53 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.97 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 5,172$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 46c | 4,153$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.67 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 46c | 2,665$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.22 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 2,094$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.16 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,147$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.91 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 54c | 773.08$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 770$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.44 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 45c | 722$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.1 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 46c | 711.66$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.24 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 47c | 640.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 639.91$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.95 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 45c | 423$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 419$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 412.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 47c | 367.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 45c | 87.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 49c | 73.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…bf5dbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 47c | 51.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Over | 52c | 33.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 48c | 33.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…b163backed Over | 57c | 21.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 136.5this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden BearsClemson Tigers won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-4.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.