Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabbd2b9ead51f7471169afbb96f4774045ad69be9a906fb402db1ca794aeb360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked California Golden Bears | 35c | 11,273$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.37 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Clemson Tigers | 72c | 7,270$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed California Golden Bears | 10c | 7,204$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.36 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clemson Tigers | 71c | 5,055$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.1 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked California Golden Bears | 24c | 2,764$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Clemson Tigers | 63c | 1,250$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.49 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Golden Bears | 33c | 994$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Clemson Tigers | 71c | 754$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 63c | 647.32$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked California Golden Bears | 6c | 515$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed California Golden Bears | 37c | 478.38$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clemson Tigers | 65c | 346$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed California Golden Bears | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Clemson Tigers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked California Golden Bears | 28c | 188.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked California Golden Bears | 20c | 163.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clemson Tigers | 74c | 142.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Clemson Tigers | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Clemson Tigers | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clemson Tigers | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed California Golden Bears | 38c | 104.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Clemson Tigers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Clemson Tigers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clemson Tigers | 63c | 95.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Clemson Tigers | 63c | 92.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed California Golden Bears | 38c | 69.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked California Golden Bears | 36c | 59.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Clemson Tigers | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…0faabacked Clemson Tigers | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…9d74backed Clemson Tigers | 65c | 38.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Clemson Tigers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Clemson Tigers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Clemson Tigers | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden Bearsthis page
- Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-4.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.