Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d2b18757fe60fae9d2e0607462bca5dd04dc26506e11dc000a0a435ee17b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 5,427$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.51 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 2,227$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.15 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 1,897$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed California Golden Bears | 53c | 1,629$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.19 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California Golden Bears | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 1,128$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.5 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 1,103$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 334.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 218.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed California Golden Bears | 53c | 211$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed California Golden Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 98.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-4.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden BearsClemson Tigers won
- Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.