NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232762f354ac06d1ac70df9bebd476f6b4f3599bf2c5af6f33d7206a1fdcf3e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons | 57c | 9,100$5,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.52 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,898$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,936$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.61 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 43c | 2,899$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 43c | 2,729$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 57c | 1,923$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,742$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.86 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Pistons | 71c | 1,279$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.67 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,037$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.24 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Nuggets | 43c | 999.88$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.93 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 57c | 916$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Pistons | 56c | 888$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.72 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pistons | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Pistons | 16c | 609$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Nuggets | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 40c | 458.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 45c | 352.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Pistons | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 58c | 345.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nuggets | 35c | 279.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 68c | 252.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 62c | 229.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 29c | 220.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Pistons | 27c | 210$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 41c | 178.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Nuggets | 29c | 170.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 56c | 154.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 151.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Pistons | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pistons | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Pistons | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Pistons | 55c | 137.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…ab6fbacked Pistons | 57c | 126.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Nuggets | 44c | 110.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Nuggets | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 57c | 101.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Nuggets | 45c | 95.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 65c | 91.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets | 46c | 91.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pistons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Pistons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 51c | 85.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Nuggets | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…0308backed Pistons | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…3562backed Pistons | 57c | 58.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Pistons | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons | 57c | 50.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Nuggets | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Pistons | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…d9f0backed Pistons | 77c | 45.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…5dbdbacked Pistons | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…bf68backed Pistons | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…6976backed Pistons | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Nuggets | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Pistons | 65c | 40.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Pistons | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Pistons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…3642backed Pistons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…c93fbacked Pistons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…d8ffbacked Pistons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…9949backed Pistons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Nuggets | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…b163backed Pistons | 58c | 31.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Nuggets | 43c | 29.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Pistons | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Pistons | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Pistons | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Pistons | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Pistons | 62c | 26.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Pistons | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Pistons | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Pistons | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…18fabacked Pistons | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pistons | 71c | 22.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Pistons | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Pistons | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Pistons | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Pistons | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Nuggets | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…148bbacked Pistons | 79c | 19.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Pistons | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Pistons | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Pistons vs. NuggetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.