TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons57c9,100$5,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,176.5266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets42c3,898$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Nuggets43c2,936$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.6148347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets43c2,899$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets43c2,729$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons57c1,923$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.462,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Nuggets43c1,742$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.8617454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Pistons71c1,279$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.674744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets77c1,037$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.241,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pistons55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Nuggets43c999.88$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9332051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons57c916$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.121,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Pistons56c888$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.723636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Pistons63c800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50462948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Pistons16c609$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4435326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Nuggets44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33664139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets40c458.92$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets45c352.03$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Pistons57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons58c345.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Nuggets35c279.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.839736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons68c252.93$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.132,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons62c229.69$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets29c220.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.253,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Pistons27c210$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.916052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets41c178.46$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.363,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Nuggets29c170.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5312652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons56c154.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.73,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ba…068dbacked Nuggets46c151.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Pistons43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.511843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pistons54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8172250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Pistons57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed Pistons55c137.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc09b…ab6fbacked Pistons57c126.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Nuggets44c110.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5711849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nuggets61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.927247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nuggets48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1759140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pistons57c101.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5680744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Nuggets45c95.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.796541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons65c91.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Nuggets46c91.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5143244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pistons57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Pistons57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons51c85.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.211,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Nuggets43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.67361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f2b…0308backed Pistons57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Nuggets44c64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.844429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb423…3562backed Pistons57c58.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.131030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Nuggets43c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.499050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Pistons57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons57c50.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9740853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Nuggets43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Pistons63c47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5412737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e65…d9f0backed Pistons77c45.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff6…5dbdbacked Pistons57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ae…bf68backed Pistons57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0463…6976backed Pistons57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Nuggets42c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.947451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Pistons65c40.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2111759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Pistons54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.642146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons48c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.764,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29fe…74e1backed Pistons57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb6…3642backed Pistons57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ff…c93fbacked Pistons57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2322…d8ffbacked Pistons57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…9949backed Pistons57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Nuggets46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6122655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…b163backed Pistons58c31.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Nuggets43c29.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Pistons56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.242965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Pistons55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Pistons57c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.392934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Pistons58c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.665843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Pistons62c26.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.533930.8%12 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Pistons57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Pistons57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.254755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Pistons57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6815253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Nuggets44c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea20…18fabacked Pistons57c22.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Pistons71c22.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.921,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Pistons57c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.542536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Pistons57c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.543545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Pistons61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcd…43aabacked Pistons57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Nuggets75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54774.5%35 W · 12 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+43.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3b2…148bbacked Pistons79c19.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Pistons56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f2d…241bbacked Pistons67c15.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.